Tuesday 30 January 2018

IS IT POSSIBLE TO INDUCE RAIN VIA CLIMATE SIMULATION

LION’S HEAD CAPE TOWN – A WILD GARDEN 
When the English botanist William Burchell first visited Cape Town in 1810 he climbed Lion’s Head, the hill near Table Mountain.  There he counted over 100 different plants over a distance of 1km.  He wrote in his diary that he found it hard to believe that such a wonderful garden could have been planted purely by nature.  Today ‘Nature’s bulb garden’ can be seen in all its glory in only a few unspoilt places, but the flowers are grown throughout the world.  The magnificent isolation enjoyed by the Cape Flora came to an end when people deliberately imported plants and trees to the Cape.  Most of these are beneficial but a few have become problem plants competing with the fynbos and greedily using up the water.  Some of these plants grown too well and have crowded out the fynbos.

REMOVING ALIEN VEGETATION SAVES WATER 
Alien vegetation uses a lot of water and allows rapid run-off that leads to soil erosion and the drying up of streams.  By contrast, fynbos is the best vegetation for ensuring a steady supply of clean water from catchment areas.  The fynbos soaks up the winter rain like a sponge but uses little for its own needs.  This water seeps slowly from the soil into rivers throughout the dry summer.  Caring for fynbos in catchment areas provides additional water at a fraction of the cost of a new dam or desalination of sea water.  The ‘Working for Water’ programme removes alien vegetation and provides work and wood for unemployed people, and can increase the water supply by 20%.

A CHANGING CLIMATE – GLOBAL WARMING

The diverse fynbos has evolved over millions of years, adapting to both ice ages and very warm periods during earth’s history.  Over the last 4 000 years modern humans have developed a civilisation based on agriculture and technology.  But these activities are causing the earth’s climate to change very fast.

ECO-TOURISM MAKING FYNBOS PAY
 
Eco-tourism is becoming very popular and the Cape has wonderful opportunities to create awareness and appreciation of its natural heritage, while at the same time earning valuable income to help manage it.  Flower farmers near Cape Agulhas have created trails where visitors can experience the beauty of the fynbos and its animals.  The towns of Clanwilliam, Darling and Caledon have annual flower shows and beautiful wild flower gardens.

UNDERSTANDING WORLD HERITAGE, WORLD HERITAGE SITES AND THEIR OUTSTANDING UNIVERSAL VALUE 

“Outstanding Universal Value (OUV) means cultural and/or natural significance which is so exceptional as to transcend national boundaries and to be of common importance for present and future generations of all humanity”
CLIMATE CHANGE AND THE WORLD HERITAGE CONVENTION
It has now been more than a decade since the issue of climate change impacts on natural and cultural heritage properties was formally brought to the attention of the World Heritage Committee (Welling et al. 2015). At its 29th session in Durban, South Africa in 2005, the World Heritage Committee called on States Parties to identify the properties most at risk from climate change and encouraged UNESCO “to ensure that the results about climate change affecting World Heritage properties reach the public at large, in order to mobilize political support for activities against climate change and to safeguard in this way the livelihood of the poorest people of our planet (Decision 29 COM 7B.a).
In 2007, at its 16th session, the General Assembly of States Parties adopted a binding Policy Document on the Impacts of Climate Change on World Heritage Properties (UNESCO 2007a).
CAPE FLORAL REGION PROTECTED AREAS, SOUTH AFRICA 

South Africa’s Cape Floral Kingdom is one of the world’s most extraordinary regions for plant biodiversity. A huge magnet for nature tourism, the World Heritage site consists of more than 1 million hectares of protected areas including the Table Mountain and Garden Route National Parks, surrounded by nearly 800 000 hectares of buffer zones. Kirstenbosch National Botanical Garden with its 7 000 garden and wild plant species is also within the World Heritage site (SANBI; UNESCOb).
Already under pressure from development and population growth, this extraordinary area, its unique biodiversity and the tourism revenue that supports local livelihoods and helps drive the region’s economy has been for many years threatened by the warmer and drier conditions resulting from climate change.
Plants and animals are adapted to the particular environment in which they live.  The Fynbos Biome is a major community of plants and animals, at the southwestern corner of Africa, that is influenced by two oceans, several mountain ranges and by a winter-rainfall climate – making it different from the rest of Africa and the world!

WEATHER – WHETHER IT IS POSSIBLE TO INDUCE RAIN 
VIA CLIMATIC SIMULATION 

Cold fronts have historically brought winter rainfall to the Cape at roughly seven-day intervals but due to climate change annual rainfall has dropped significantly since 2013.  This has presented the looming Day Zero scenario when taps will run dry in April 2018 unless averted or a shortened Day Zero period by citizens prayers and rain falls heavily via the assistance of an organisation inducing rain via simulating and imitating ideal weather conditions.

INFLUENCE OF THE OCEANS
Water warms up and cools down more slowly than land, and so places near the ocean are not as hot or as cold as those far from the sea.  Wind causes sea water to evaporate and then carries the water vapour over the land to fall as rain.  The east and south coasts of South Africa are bathed by the warm Indian Ocean, from which lots of water evaporates, creating plenty of rain.  By contrast, the cold Atlantic Ocean along the west coast gives up less water, and the little water vapour the wind does carry over the land condenses into fog that refreshes the plants with dewdrops on cold nights.  On hot days the fog evaporates, leaving dry, desert conditions along the coast.

A TABLECLOTH AND A RAIN SHADOW
Wind scurries across a narrow coastal plain and as it rises over the mountains it cools, water condenses and drops as rain nor settles as a cloudy ‘tablecloth’.  The inland slopes of the mountains are drier and known as a ‘rain shadow’.

CAPE TOWN TOURISM 
Cape Town, is the country’s largest tourist draw, with one in every ten jobs in the Western Cape related to tourism – more than twice the national average (SSA 2015). Table Mountain, which is within the World Heritage property, is a major destination, with its aerial cableway and spectacular views. The famed Garden Route, in which fynbos is the primary habitat type, is visited by more than a third of all tourists to South Africa (Benfield 2013). Major attractions for visitors to the Cape region include wildflowers and gardens, whale and penguin watching, and hiking. The Cape Floral Kingdom is the world’s “hottest hotspot” for plant diversity and endemism, and the fynbos is one of five Mediterranean-type biomes in the world, which together contain 20 per cent of the world’s known vascular plants (UNESCOb; Lee and Barnard 2015). It has a greater density of species than any of the world’s other Mediterranean-type regions and is home to 20 per cent of Africa’s flora (9 000 plant species) on less than 0.5 per cent of its land area (UNESCOb).
CHANGING CLIMATE
Climate change has already been recorded in the Western Cape region, with studies suggesting an average warming of 0.1–0.2ºC per decade from 1901 to 2006 in the Greater Cape Floristic Region, with rates in the later decades being higher than earlier in the century (Altwegg et al. 2014). For the future, the regional warming trend is expected to continue and the fynbos will get hotter and drier, with an especially marked decrease in winter rainfall. Climate models suggest that by 2070 the fynbos will experience average temperatures over ten months of the year that would have been considered extreme in 1961– 1990 (Beaumont et al. 2011). There is also evidence that the incidence of very large fires has increased since the 1990s, and the total average area burned annually has expanded significantly since the 1980s (Kraaij et al. 2013a). Fire regimes are expected to continue to change, with greater frequency of fires predicted (Kraaij et al. 2013b). One impact of increased fire frequency would be a reduction in the height of the overall vegetation structure, with large proteas being replaced by grasses and fire ephemerals (Lee and Barnard 2015).

FYNBOS UNDER PRESSURE 

Outside protected areas, the fynbos is already under severe pressure, with approximately 31 per cent already lost, particularly as a result of the conversion of wildlands to agriculture, urban development and plantation forestry (Huntley and Barnard 2012). Climate modelling suggests that proteas are highly likely to become more restricted in their distribution under future climate scenarios (Midgeley et al. 2006), with species in lowland habitats and already restricted ranges likely to be the first to be negatively affected (Hannah et al. 2005).

THE CAPE FLORAL KINGDOM 

The Cape Floral Kingdom is a recognised Global Biodiversity Hotspot and a World Heritage Site.  Nowhere else in the world are there so many different species of plants in such a small area.  The aromatic plants produce a fascinating array of colourful and unusual flowers that attract many birds, insects and other small creatures.  The region is being actively conserved, with strict laws about picking flowers, the elimination of alien vegetation and the formation of many protected areas.  Fynbos has found its way into gardens worldwide.  Table Mountain National Park is a World Heritage Site.

WORLD HERITAGE PROPERTY 

A World Heritage Site is a landmark or area which is selected by the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) as having cultural, historical, scientific or other form of significance, and is legally protected by international treaties. The sites are judged important to the collective interests of humanity.
To be selected, a World Heritage Site must be an already classified landmark, unique in some respect as a geographically and historically identifiable place having special cultural or physical significance (such as an ancient ruin or historical structure, building, city, complex, desert, forest, island, lake, monument, mountain, or wilderness area). It may signify a remarkable accomplishment of humanity, and serve as evidence of our intellectual history on the planet.
The sites are intended for practical conservation for posterity, which otherwise would be subject to risk from human or animal trespassing, unmonitored/uncontrolled/unrestricted access, or threat from local administrative negligence.  Sites are demarcated by UNESCO as protected zones.  The list is maintained by the international World Heritage Program administered by the UNESCO World Heritage Committee, composed of 21 UNESCO member states which are elected by the UN General Assembly.
WORLD HERITAGE DATA REPORTING 

CONDITIONS AND ARRANGEMENTS FOR WORLD HERITAGE PROPERTY INTERNATIONAL ASSISTANCE 

ARTICLE 19
Any State Party to this Convention may request international assistance for property forming part of the cultural or natural heritage of outstanding universal value situated within its territory. It shall submit with its request such information and documentation provided for in
ARTICLE 21 1.
The World Heritage Committee shall define the procedure by which requests to it for international assistance shall be considered and shall specify the content of the request, which should define the operation contemplated, the work that is necessary, the expected cost thereof, the degree of urgency and the reasons why the resources of the State requesting assistance do not allow it to meet all the expenses. Such requests must be supported by experts' reports whenever possible. 12 2. Requests based upon disasters or natural calamities should, by reasons of the urgent work which they may involve, be given immediate, priority consideration by the Committee, which should have a reserve fund at its disposal against such contingencies. 3. Before coming to a decision, the Committee shall carry out such studies and consultations as it deems necessary.
ARTICLE 22
Assistance granted by the World Heritage Fund may take the following forms: (a) studies concerning the artistic, scientific and technical problems raised by the protection, conservation, presentation and rehabilitation of the cultural and natural heritage, as defined in paragraphs 2 and 4 of Article 11 of this Convention; (b) provisions of experts, technicians and skilled labour to ensure that the approved work is correctly carried out; (c) training of staff and specialists at all levels in the field of identification, protection, conservation, presentation and rehabilitation of the cultural and natural heritage; (d) supply of equipment which the State concerned does not possess or is not in a position to acquire; (e) low-interest or interest-free loans which might be repayable on a long-term basis; (f) the granting, in exceptional cases and for special reasons, of non-repayable subsidies.

WESTERN CAPE ECOSYSTEM

The Cape Floral Kingdom stretches from Nieuwoudtville in west to Port Elizabeth in the east.  A heath-like vegetation known as fynbos covers 80% of the region.  Fynbos, grey renosterveld and coastal strandveld make up the Fynbos Biome.  There are also patches of wetland, thicket, forest and succulent Karoo vegetation. 

FYNBOS (FINE BUSH) 

The characteristic plants of the fynbos are proteas, colourful ericas, hardy Cape reeds (restios) and plants known as geophytes that survive harsh conditions underground as bulbs.  Fynbos grows in areas with more than 300mm of rain, most of it falling in winter.  It favours nutrient-poor soil, which is usually acid.  Fynbos often has small leaves to reduce wilting during the dry summer, and is fire-adapted.

SUCCULENT KAROO 

Sparse, low-growing succulent Karoo vegetation is found in dry areas with less than 250mm of mainly winter rain and where the soil is rich in nutrients.  The Karoo, from the Khoekhoen word for ‘dry’, is the semi-desert region in the rain shadow north of the Cape Fold Belt Mountains and along the west coast approaching Namaqualand.  It has the highest number of plant species for a semi-arid area anywhere in the world.  The most common of its fleshy-leafed plants are the vygies, with over 1 000 species.

SUBTROPICAL THICKETS AND AFROMONTANE FOREST 

There are also subtropical dense thickets along rivers, dunes and on termite mounds.  Thickets thrive in nutrient-rich soils with a rainfall of between 300and 800mm and where there is little danger of fire.  Small pockets of cool, temperate forest occur in areas of high year-round rainfall of over 800mm.  The most important trees are the magnificent yellowwoods.  The high forest on the Garden Route between Knysna and Tsitsikamma is the only extensive forest in the southern African region.
17th to 20th centuries

Between the 17th and 20th centuries, the island was used as a prison, including for political prisoners, a hospital for socially unacceptable groups (leper colony), and a military base.
N/A

The site consists of eight protected areas that are among the richest in plant life worldwide, containing nearly 20% of Africa's total flora. Its scientific value is demonstrated by the presence of fire and radiation adaptivity in plants and seed dispersal by insects.
IT HAS NOW BEEN MORE THAN A DECADE SINCE THE ISSUE OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON NATURAL AND CULTURAL HERITAGE PROPERTIES WAS FORMALLY BROUGHT TO THE ATTENTION OF THE WORLD HERITAGE COMMITTEE (WELLING ET AL. 2015). 

At its 29th session in Durban, South Africa in 2005, the World Heritage Committee called on States Parties to identify the properties most at risk from climate change and encouraged UNESCO “to ensure that the results about climate change affecting World Heritage properties reach the public at large, in order to mobilize political support for activities against climate change and to safeguard in this way the livelihood of the poorest people of our planet (Decision 29 COM 7B.a).
THIS RESULTED IN A GROUND-BREAKING REPORT, PREDICTING AND MANAGING THE EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON WORLD HERITAGE (UNESCO 2007B), AS WELL AS THE STRATEGY TO ASSIST STATES PARTIES TO THE CONVENTION TO IMPLEMENT APPROPRIATE MANAGEMENT RESPONSES (UNESCO 2007C)
At its 30th session (Vilnius, 2006), the World Heritage Committee requested all States Parties to implement the strategy so as to protect the OUV, integrity and authenticity of World Heritage properties from the adverse impacts of climate change. In 2007, at its 16th session, the General Assembly of States Parties adopted a binding Policy Document on the Impacts of Climate Change on World Heritage Properties (UNESCO 2007a).
SOUTH AFRICA HAS RETURNED WORLD HERITAGE REPORTS IN 2006, 2007, 2009 and 30 NOV 2017
Only three threats identified in all three reports from 2006 to 2017
Lack of financial resources;
Invasive species;
Fires

LAST SOUTH AFRICAN REPORT SUBMITTED INCOMPLETE 30 NOVEMBER 2017 AND WITHOUT MENTION OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND / OR WATER SCARCITY? 

MANAGEMENT OF WORLD HERITAGE SITE OUTSTANDING UNIVERSAL VALUE
All properties inscribed on the World Heritage List must have adequate protection and management mechanisms in place. How a country chooses to protect and manage its properties can vary, so long as it does so effectively.
Cultural heritage and natural heritage of Outstanding Universal Value are defined in Articles 1 and 2 of the World Heritage Convention
The World Heritage Committee can place a property on an "in danger" list if it believes the property is threatened by serious and specific dangers.
If the Outstanding Universal Value of a World Heritage property is destroyed, the World Heritage Committee will remove it from the World Heritage List. This has happened only twice since the World Heritage Convention began.

CAPE TOWN DAY ZERO RISKS – APRIL 2018 


An internationally commercially important endemic plant species of the fynbos is rooibos (Aspalathus linearis), which is used to make redbush tea, a herbal drink growing in popularity worldwide, especially in Germany, Japan, the UK and USA. Rooibos was mainly harvested wild but is increasingly being grown commercially in Western Cape Province, where the tea industry provides employment for more than 5 000 people on farms and in factories, and turns over in excess of ZAR 500 million (c. US$ 31 million) annually (SADAFF 2014). The extensive expansion of rooibos cultivation in recent years has been a significant driver of the conversion of natural habitat to small farming operations. Models suggest, however, that the range of both wild and commercial rooibos will shrink significantly as the climate warms and the region dries.
CLIMATE CHANGE THREATENS BIRD SPECIES 

Aside from its incredible plant diversity, the fynbos provides important habitat for many bird species, including six endemic species. Climate projections suggest a significant loss of climatically suitable habitat for these endemic birds, including the protea canary (Serinus leucopterus) and Victorin’s scrub-warbler (Bradypterus victorini), while the Cape rock-jumper (Chaetops frenatus) has already been nationally listed with near-threatened status as a consequence of its vulnerability to climate change (Lee and Barnard 2015). Estimates of climate impacts on bird populations that look only at range shifts may underestimate extinction risk. Modelling that takes into account changes in abundance as well as in range generally shows greater population impacts (Huntley et al. 2012). Any resulting loss in fynbos species diversity could have major implications, especially if the projected reductions in range and abundance occur for such important pollinators as the orange-breasted sunbird (Anthobaphes violacea) and Cape sugarbird (Promerops cafer) (Huntley and Barnard 2012).
It is clear that future prospects for this important biodiversity hotspot and tourism centre will be under pressure in an increasingly warm and dry climate. Preservation of the fynbos biome and its extraordinary array of species will depend on careful management of buffer areas, reduced stress from wildland conversion and perhaps increased connectivity of protected areas, even if global mean temperature increase can be kept to 2ºC or below.
HEALTH RISKS 

JOB LOSS RISK AS MANY SME’S GRIND TO A HALT AND LARGER INDUSTRIES CANNOT MANUFACTURE OR PRODUCE WITHOUT WATER
Cape Town is the second-most populous city in South Africa behind Johannesburg and it is the provincial capital of the Western Cape. Located on the shore of Table Bay, Cape Town is famous around the world for its beautiful harbour and it has a long history going back to its development by the Dutch East India Company for supplying ships in the mid-17th century. In 2016, Cape Town has an estimated population of 3.74 million.  Cape Town is part of the City of Cape Town metropolitan municipality, with a metropolitan population of 3.74 million people and a population density of 1,530 people per square kilometer.
CAPE TOWN HAS MANY NOTABLE NEIGHBORHOODS 

The Atlantic Seaboard to the west of Cape Town, for example, has some of the most expensive real estate in the country and the highest concentration of multimillionaires in the city.
The Northern Suburbs are comprised mostly of Afrikaans-speaking people while the Southern Suburbs are mostly English-speaking people. The Cape Flats to the southeast of the central business district is often called "Apartheid's dumping ground" as it became home to people the apartheid government considered non-white.
CAPE TOWN DEMOGRAPHICS
Cape Town is one of the most multicultural cities in the world and is a major destination for expatriates and immigrants.  The ethnic and racial composition of Cape Town is:
42.4% "Coloured"
38.6% "Black African"
15.7% "White"
1.4% "Asian or Indian"
1.9% other 

THE KNOCK-ON EFFECT OF DAY ZERO – DAY ZERO WILL DISADVANTAGE 80% OF PEOPLE IN CAPE TOWN WHILE APPROXIMATELY 20% OF THE POPULATION, BEING THE MORE AFFLUENT COMMUNITY WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE OVERUSE OF AND EXCESSIVE PURCHASE OF PLASTIC WATER BOTTLES FOR DAILY WATER USE.  MANY OF THE PLASTIC WATER BOTTLES WILL EVENTULLY END UP IN LANDFILLS AND PERPETUATE THE CYCLE OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND ONLY ADD TO THE PROBLEM OF PLASTIC WASTE 


THUS, NOT FULLY MITIGATING CLIMATE CHANGE BUT PERPETUATING THE PROBLEM VIA ACTIVATING DAY ZERO AND SUBMITTING AN INCOMPLETE ‘STATE OF CONSERVATION REPORT BY THE STATE PARTY (SOUTH AFRICA) DATED 30 NOVEMBER 2017 IRO WHC’s REQUEST (10) BELOW http://whc.unesco.org/en/list/1007/documents PUTS ADDITIONAL RISK TO SOUTH AFRICA LOSING ITS WORLD HERITAGE SITE STATUS AT THE 'CAPE FLORAL REGION PROTECTED AREAS'

THE WORLD HERITAGE COMMITTEE DECISION 2009

1. Having examined Document WHC-09/33.COM/7B,
2. Recalling Decision 31 COM 7B.8, adopted at its 31st session (Christchurch, 2007),
3. Welcomes the efforts of the State Party to improve connectivity amongst the different components of the property, as well as its intention to prepare an extension for the property;
4. Notes the reported progress towards the establishment of an overall management board for the property as well as efforts to increase financial resources for the control of invasive species and address the impacts of wildfires in the property;
5. Encourages the State Party to further continue and enhance its programmes for fire management, control of invasive species and mitigation of climate change impacts;
6. Urges the State Party to ensure appropriate funding for these and other management activities in the property;
7. Requests the State Party, to submit to the World Heritage Centre, by 1 February 2011, a report on progress made in fire management, control of invasive species, mitigation of climate change impacts as well as the institutional, financial and staffing provision for the conservation of the property. 



THE WORLD HERITAGE COMMITTEE DECISION JULY 2015 FOR SOUTH AFRICA TO SUBMIT A REPORT BY 1 DECEMBER 2017 (16 MONTHS LATER)
Cape Floral Region Protected Areas [extension of the property “Cape Floral Region Protected Areas”]
Recommendations by IUCN and ICOMOS to the 39th session of the World Heritage Committee (28 June - 8 July 2015)
  1. Having examined Documents WHC-15/39.COM/8B and WHC-15/39.COM/INF.8B2,
  2. Approves the extension of Cape Floral Region Protected Areas, South Africa, on the World Heritage List, on the basis of criteria (ix) and (x);
  3. Adopts the following Statement of Outstanding Universal Value:
BRIEF SYNTHESIS
The Cape Floral Region has been recognised as one of the most special places for plants in the world in terms of diversity, density and number of endemic species. The property is a highly distinctive phytogeographic unit which is regarded as one of the six Floral Kingdoms of the world and is by far the smallest and relatively the most diverse. It is recognised as one of the world’s hottest hotspots for its diversity of endemic and threatened plants, and contains outstanding examples of significant ongoing ecological, biological and evolutionary processes. This extraordinary assemblage of plant life and its associated fauna is represented by a series of 13 protected area clusters covering an area of more than 1 million ha. These protected areas also conserve the outstanding ecological, biological and evolutionary processes associated with the beautiful and distinctive Fynbos vegetation, unique to the Cape Floral Region.
CRITERION (ix): The property is considered of Outstanding Universal Value for representing ongoing ecological and biological processes associated with the evolution of the unique Fynbos biome. These processes are represented generally within the Cape Floral Region and captured in the component areas that make up the 13 protected area clusters. Of particular scientific interest are the adaptations of the plants to fire and other natural disturbances; seed dispersal by ants and termites; the very high level of plant pollination by insects, mainly beetles and flies, birds and mammals; and high levels of adaptive radiation and speciation. The pollination biology and nutrient cycling are other distinctive ecological processes found in the site. The Cape Floral Region forms a centre of active speciation where interesting patterns of endemism and adaptive radiation are found in the flora.
CRITERION (x): The Cape Floral Region is one of the richest areas for plants when compared to any similar sized area in the world. It represents less than 0.5% of the area of Africa but is home to nearly 20% of the continent’s flora. The outstanding diversity, density and endemism of the flora are among the highest worldwide. Some 69% of the estimated 9,000 plant species in the region are endemic, with 1,736 plant species identified as threatened and with 3,087 species of conservation concern. The Cape Floral Region has been identified as one of the world’s 35 biodiversity hotspots.
INTEGRITY
The originally inscribed Cape Floral Region Protected Areas serial property comprised eight protected areas covering a total area of 557,584 ha, and included a buffer zone of 1,315,000 ha. The extended Cape Floral Region Protected Areas property comprises 1,094,742 ha of protected areas and is surrounded by a buffer zone of 798,514 ha. The buffer zone is made up of privately owned, declared Mountain Catchment Areas and other protected areas, further supported by other buffering mechanisms that are together designed to facilitate functional connectivity and mitigate for the effects of global climate change and other anthropogenic influences.
The collection of protected areas adds up in a synergistic manner to present the biological richness and evolutionary story of the Cape Floral Region. All the protected areas included in the property, except for some of the privately owned, declared Mountain Catchment Areas, have existing dedicated management plans, which have been revised, or are in the process of revision in terms of the National Environmental Management: Protected Areas Act. Mountain Catchment Areas are managed in terms of the Mountain Catchment Areas Act. Progress with increased protection through public awareness and social programmes to combat poverty, improved management of mountain catchment areas and stewardship programmes is being made.
PROTECTION AND MANAGEMENT REQUIREMENTS
The serial World Heritage property and its component parts, all legally designated protected areas, are protected under the National Environmental Management: Protected Areas Act (57 of 2003). The property is surrounded by extensive buffer zones (made up of privately owned, declared Mountain Catchment Areas and other protected areas) and supported by various buffering mechanisms in the region. Together, these provide good connectivity and landscape integration for most of the protected area clusters, especially in the mountain areas. The protected areas that make up the property are managed by three authorities: South African National Parks (SANParks), Western Cape Nature Conservation Board (CapeNature) and Eastern Cape Parks and Tourism Agency. These authorities, together with the national Department of Environmental Affairs, make up the Joint Management Committee of the property. All of the sites are managed in accordance with agreed management plans, however, there is a recognised need for a property-wide management strategy in the form of an Environmental Management Framework.
Knowledge management systems are being expanded to advise improved planning and management decision-making, thus facilitating the efficient use of limited, but increasing, resources relating in particular to the management of fire and invasive alien species. The provision of long-term, adequate funding to all of the agencies responsible for managing the property is essential to ensure effective management of the multiple components across this complex serial site.
Invasive alien species and fire are the greatest management challenges facing the property at present. Longer-term threats include climate change and development pressures caused by a growing population, particularly in the Cape Peninsula and along some coastal areas. These threats are well understood and addressed in the planning and management of the protected areas and their buffer zones. Invasive species are being dealt with through manual control programmes that have been used as a reference for other parts of the world.
THE WORLD HERITAGE COMMITTEE:
  1. Commends the State Party (South Africa) for its review of the nomination boundaries to bring forward an extension of the property which, on the basis of fine scale scientific analysis, significantly increases the number of Fynbos vegetation types protected within the property and strengthens the property’s integrity;
  2. ENCOURAGES the State Party (South Africa) to address longstanding shortfalls in financial resources which are impeding management of the property and which will be increasingly important in light of the substantially increased area and complexity of the extended property;
  3. REQUESTS the State Party (South Africa) to complete the Environmental Management Framework and submit a copy to the World Heritage Centre by 1 December 2017 and to strengthen the role and resources of the Joint Management Committee so that it can more effectively act as a single coordinating authority that guides management across all inscribed component parts of the property;
  4. ALSO REQUESTS the State Party (South Africa) to submit to the World Heritage Centre, by 1 December 2017, a report on the state of conservation of the property, including progress on the finalization of a property-wide integrated management plan; strengthened governance arrangements to improve coordination; and the implementation of actions to ensure adequate financial resources for the property’s management, FOR EXAMINATION BY THE WORLD HERITAGE COMMITTEE AT ITS 42ND SESSION IN 2018. 
SOUTH AFRICA’S REQUESTED SUBMISSION DUE 1 DECEMBER 2017 WAS INCOMPLETE

UNESCO 2016 REPORT: WORLD HERITAGE AND TOURISM IN A CHANGING CLIMATE
This publication was made possible with financial support of the Ministry for Ecology, Sustainable Development and Energy, France.
The recommendations in the report lay out a series of priorities for the international community, national governments, the tourism industry and site managers. The report was produced by UNESCO’s World Heritage Centre, UNEP’s Tourism and Environment Programme and the Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS), in close collaboration.
“This report provides an overview of the increasing vulnerability of World Heritage sites to climate change impacts and the potential implications for and of global tourism. It also examines the close relationship between World Heritage and tourism, and how climate change is likely to exacerbate problems caused by unplanned tourism development and uncontrolled or poorly managed visitor access, as well as other threats and stresses. Tourism can also play a positive role in helping to secure the future of many World Heritage sites in a changing climate.
The report’s goal is to provide up-to-date information and a basis for action on climate change, tourism and World Heritage in the follow-up to the adoption of the Paris Agreement by the Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in December 2015 and the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, adopted by the United Nations General Assembly in October 2015. Using a series of case studies from World Heritage sites around the world, many of them iconic tourist destinations, the report shows how climate driven changes currently, or could in the future, threaten their outstanding universal value (OUV), integrity and authenticity, as well as the economies and communities that depend on tourism. - Mechtild Rössler, Director of Heritage Division & Director of The World Heritage Centre 

UNESCO REPORTED IN 2016 POTENTIAL CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS 
ON THE CAPE FLORAL REGION 

The Cape Floral Region World Heritage site consists of 8 protected areas covering 553 000 ha and characterised by an outstanding plant diversity, density and endemism. Based on supporting evidence by experiments, observations and modelling, climate change might be the most significant threat facing this diversity over the next 50 to 100 years. Projected changes in soil moisture and winter rainfall could result in a changed species distribution. This would affect the range restricted and locally rare species with limited dispersal ability and the climate sensitive relict wetland species that characterize the floristic region. Climate change might also affect the values of the site through drought mortality, the breaking up of highly specialized mutualisms and impacts on existing disturbance regimes such as fire. The first impacts of climate change on the region’s biodiversity are already becoming apparent and many more impacts are expected. Bioclimatic modelling provides an excellent risk assessment but key knowledge gaps need to be closed by experimental and observational studies. Potential strategies include investing in focussed research and developing a monitoring system, perhaps with the involvement of the public. Conservation planning should also be integrated with climate risk assessment and a coordinated regional effort should be established to analyse information and assess the risk of biodiversity loss. It is also important to increase the topographic diversity and landscape connectivity of protected areas by creating migratory corridors, to reduce or remove other stresses on the ecosystem and to strengthen risk preparedness, in particular for fires. 

THE CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS OBSERVED FOR ALL GLOBAL NATURAL WORLD HERITAGE PROPERTIES ARE:
Glacial retreat and glacier melting (19 sites)
• Sea-level rise (18 sites)
Loss of biodiversity (17 sites)
• Species migration and tree-line shift (12 sites, 6 for treeline shift)
Rainfall pattern changes and occurrence of droughts (11 sites)
Frequency of wildfires (9 sites)
• Coral bleaching (6 sites)
• Coastal erosion (4 sites)
Sea water temperature and salinity change (1 site)
• Hurricane, storms, cyclones (1 site)

The 1972 UNESCO World Heritage Convention is the principal instrument for identifying and protecting, for the benefit of current and future generations, the outstanding natural and cultural heritage of the world, and encouraging international cooperation for its conservation. Climate change has now emerged as one of the most serious threats impacting on the conservation of this heritage.  The global network of World Heritage sites is ideally suited to build public awareness and support through sharing of information and effective communication on the subject, given the high-profile nature of these sites.  Protecting and managing World Heritage sites in a sustainable and effective manner is a shared responsibility under the Convention.  Therefore, there is a need to publicize all available information on the threats posed by climate change and the potential measures for dealing with them. This publication in the World Heritage Papers Series, comprising the report on ’Predicting and managing the effects of climate change on World Heritage’ and a ’Strategy to assist States Parties to implement appropriate management responses’ is part of that overall effort. UNESCO’s World Heritage Centre is committed to working closely with all stakeholders including the States Parties to the 1972 Convention, other international conventions and organizations, the civil society and the scientific community to address the multiple challenges posed by climate change to the precious and fragile cultural and natural heritage of the world. - Francesco Bandarin Director of the UNESCO World Heritage Centre.